Yau shekaru 15 da suka gabata, shugaban kasar Rasha Vladimir Putin yayi jawabi a taron tsaro na Munich da wasu lafuzza da aka fassara a matsayin mafi tsauri da aka taba samu tun bayan yakin cacar baka.

Shekaru 15 da suka gabata, 10 ga Fabrairu, 2007 Shugaban Rasha Vladimir Putin yayi jawabi a taron tsaro na Munich, jawabin da nan take aka fassara shi a matsayin mafi tsauri da aka taba samu tun lokacin yakin cacar baka, amma shi kan shi Putin bai yarda cewa yayi nisa da baya ba ta ta kowace fuska ba.

Faɗaɗa kungiyar NATO, matsalolin kwance damara, rugujewar OSCE a matsayin hukuma, matsalar nukiliyar Iran da tsaron makamashin Turai – TASS ya taƙaita gargadi da hasashe-hasashe na Putin daga jawabin shi na Munich wanda ya zama gaskiya a yau saboda babu wanda ya juya kunne zuwa gare kalaman na Putin a wancan lokacin.

Jawabin Putin na Munich: “Fadawar NATO ba ta da wata alaka da sabuntar kawancen kanta, ko kuma tabbatar da tsaro a Turai. Akasin haka, yana wakiltar wani mummunan tsokana wanda ke rage matsayin amincewa da juna.”

Tun daga wannan lokacin, wasu kasashe hudu – Albania, Croatia, Montenegro da Arewacin Macedonia – aka shigar da su cikin kungiyar NATO. Bugu da ƙari, a cikin 2008, shekara guda bayan jawabin Putin na Munich an amince da wata sanarwa ta siyasa cewa da lokaci Ukraine da Jojiya za su iya shiga NATO.

Abubuwan da suka biyo baya sun tabbatar da cewa wannan manufar tana cike da tsokana kuma nan da nan za ta rage matakin tsaro a Turai. A cikin wannan shekarar ta 2008, shugaban kasar Jojiya Mikhail Saakashvili ya ji kwarin guiwa ya kaddamar da wani kasada na soji a kudancin Ossetia, wanda ya janyo hasarar rayuka da kuma lalata duk wata damammaki da Tbilisi za ta iya yi na maido da kasar cikin iyakokin tsohuwar jamhuriyar gurguzu ta Jojiya.

Burin kungiyar Arewacin Atlantic da Amurka ke mamaye da shi na samun Ukraine a matsayin sabon membanta ya taka rawa a abubuwan da suka faru a shekarar 2014 akan Crimea. Daga nan sai Putin yace Rasha ba wai kawai ta kare Crimea daga masu tsattsauran ra’ayi na Ukraine da masu tsattsauran ra’ayin kishin kasa ba, har ma ta ga ba zai yiwu ba ta bar “dakarun NATO su taka kafar Crimea da Sevastopol ba, wata kasa mai martabar sojojin Rasha da na jiragen ruwa.”

Hadarin shigar da Ukraine cikin kungiyar tsaro ta NATO, wanda zai iya haifar da barazanar soji kai tsaye ga yankin Rasha, shine ke da alhakin tashe-tashen hankulan manufofin ketare na yanzu. Wannan shi ne ainihin abin da Putin ya yi gargadi game da shi shekaru 15 da suka wuce.

Putin ya jaddada a cikin jawabin shi na Munch a 2007 cewa: “(Kiyaye yancin ɗan adam) wani muhimmin aiki ne. Muna goyon bayan hakan. Amma wannan ba yana nufin tsoma baki cikin harkokin cikin gida na wasu ƙasashe ba, musamman ma rashin kafa tsarin mulki wanda ya kayyade yadda ya kamata wadannan jihohi ya kamata. rayuwa da cigaba, a bayyane yake cewa irin wannan tsangwama ba zai haifar da cigaban dimokuradiyya ba kwata-kwata ba, akasin haka, yana sanya su dogaro da kai, a sakamakon haka, sai rashin kwanciyar hankali ta fuskar siyasa da tattalin arziki.

Shekaru 15 da suka gabata an ga wasu yan misalan irin wadannan yunƙuri na kawo cikas ga yunƙurin aiwatar da “ka’idojin dimokraɗiyya,” irin su jerin juyin juya hali na “Arab Spring” a Tunisia, Masar da Yemen da kuma yake-yaken basasa a Libya da Syria.

Irin wannan tsangwama daga kasashen waje, wanda Putin ya bayyana a matsayin wanda ba zai taba yiwuwa ba, ya haddasa rasa dubun-dubatar rayuka, da hasarar da wasu kasashe ke yi na hakika da kuma bullar kungiyar IS (kungiyar ta’addanci, da aka haramta a Rasha).

A halin da ake ciki, Rasha ta taimaka wajen ceto Syria daga rugujewa, kuma tana cigaba da samar da zaman lafiya a Libya da sauran kasashen da abin ya shafa, amma ta yin hakan ba ta kokarin kafa wata doka.

A cikin jerin wadanda abin ya shafa daga tilasta wa dimokuradiyyar, zai dace a ambaci Ukraine. Masu kishin kai masu son kai ne suka yi juyin mulki a Kiev, suna samun goyon bayan diflomasiyya da siyasa daga kasashen yamma.

Sauye-sauyen gwamnati a Ukraine ya haifar da yanke dangantakar da ke tsakanin Moscow da Kiev, da Ukraine ta yi asarar Crimea da kuma tashin hankali a Donbass.

Kamar yadda Putin yayi gargadin, dimokiradiyya ta gaskiya ba ta taba tasowa a irin wannan yanayi.

Putin ya bayyana a cikin jawabin shi mai cike da tarihi na Munich cewa: “Ba wanda zai iya jin cewa dokokin kasa da kasa tamkar katangar dutse ce da za ta kare su. Tabbas, irin wannan manufar tana kara zaburar da tseren makami, tabarbarewar al’amarin kwance damarar makamai.”

Tsoron Putin game da wani tseren makamai ya faru ne kawai. Kasar Rasha ta dauki matakin kin shiga tseren gudun fanfalaki na dogon lokaci domin yin wasan karshe nan take. Gaskiya ne, Rasha ta gina rabon kayan aikin soja na zamani a cikin sojojinta har zuwa 71% (a cikin 2010 adadin ya kasance ƙasa da 15%), amma, kamar yadda Putin yace, Moscow ba ta iya yin gasa tare da kashe kuɗin soja na Washington kuma tana gani babu dalilin da zai sa ya kamata. Madadin haka, an ba da fifiko kan bincike da haɓakawa waɗanda ke sa duk wani tsarin kariya na makamai masu linzami na biliyoyin daloli mara ma’ana.

A cikin sakon shi ga Majalisar Tarayya a cikin 2018, Putin a karon farko ya ambaci sabbin makamai masu linzami na Rasha, wadanda suka hada da tsarin makami mai linzami na Sarmat da makami mai linzami na Avangard da makami mai linzami da aka harba ta iska ta Kinzhal ballistic.

Shekara guda bayan haka, ya bayyana wasu fasalulluka na filin jirgin saman Tsirkon da makami mai linzami da ke kan teku. Rasha ba ta tsaya a nan ba, ko da yake, kuma kamar yadda Putin yace, tana cigaba da aiki kan fasahohin da za su iya tinkarar makaman da makiya suka ƙera.

“Ba wanda ya damu ya saurare mu a lokacin. Ka saurare mu yanzu,” in ji Putin a cikin sakon 2018, shekaru 11 bayan taron Munich.

Putin ya bayyana a cikin jawabin shi mai cike da tarihi na Munich cewa: “Idan kasashen duniya ba su samar da mafita mai ma’ana ba don warware wannan rikici na muradu ba, duniya za ta cigaba da fama da irin wannan rikice-rikice masu dagula lamura, da kuma makaman kare dangi.”